Cambalache 3,14 - La vidriera irrespetuosa


Que el mundo fue y será una porquería, ya lo sé.

Estocástica

También hay un modelo que refleja el comportamiento de los incendios. Imagínese un bosque que tiene cien árboles por hectárea, distribuidos aleatoriamente. Si el fuego en este bosque empieza en algún lado se va a propagar. Sin embargo, si en lugar de tener cien árboles por hectárea tengo noventa y el fuego empieza en algún lado, va a quedar confinado en una región y el bosque se va a salvar. Lo curioso es que hay un valor exacto, que es 95 por hectárea, de tal modo que si hay 94, fuego confinado, si hay 96 por hectárea, el bosque se quema. Este es fenómeno es muy estudiado en física y también en probabilidades y se llama transición de fase. Un pequeño cambio cuantitativo del parámetro densidad produce un brutal cambio cualitativo del comportamiento global.
Interesante (antigua) entrevista a Pablo Ferrari matemático argentino especialista en teoría de partículas radicado en Brasil, donde explica algunas curiosas aplicaciones de la matemática probabilística en lenguaje llano.

2019-09-19 17:42 | Categoría: | Enlace permanente | Etiquetas: | Y dicen por ahí

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